Specialists driving taxi cabs instead of practicing medicine? An over-abundance of anesthesiologists? Those are some of the past projections about the physician workforce that have missed the mark. According to a frank assessment in the January 2016 issue of The American Journal of the Medical Sciences, the same thing could happen with current estimates of a coming physician shortage in the US. Prepared by the Association of American Medical Colleges (AAMC)--its lead author is Atul Grover, MD, PhD, executive vice president of the AAMC--this report presents a concise snapshot of the recent AAMC research (which argues forcefully that a physician shortage is looming), while also providing a clear-eyed look at past projections that have not panned out.